George Friedman: Este o regulă de bază a unei alianţe militare: să ai o armată; dacă nu ai armată, e o petrecere cu cocktail

Regula de bază a unei alianţe militare este „să ai o armată”, deoarece, în lipsa unei armate, o asemenea alianţă este „o petrecere cu cocktail”, a afirmat, joi, analistul George Friedman în cadrul conferinţei „Viitorul relaţiilor transatlantice. Relevanţa pentru Europa de Est”. El a vorbit despre diferenţele de angajament militar din cadrul NATO...

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George Friedman: Poland Challenges the European Identity

By George Friedman I am writing this from a hotel room in Warsaw, surrounded by memorials to Frederic Chopin, the great Polish composer and champion of self-determination for the Polish people. This is a particularly appropriate time to be here, since Poland is locked in a battle with the European Union over the question of Polish national self-determination – more than two centuries after...

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George Friedman: On Leadership, Virtue and Vice

by George Friedman Last week there was a fire in a high-rise building in London that killed dozens. British Prime Minister Theresa May was slow to issue a statement, and it was another day before she visited the scene – and then only to meet with members of the emergency services. It was not until day three that she paid a visit to the survivors. Her explanation was that she was busy overseeing...

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George Friedman – Midway: The Battle That Almost Lost the War

June 7, 2017 Japan’s defeat at Midway was a freak, and that freak created the world we live in. By George Friedman, Geopolitical Futures Today marks the 75th anniversary of the end of the Battle of Midway. The books and movies about this battle have been legion. They focus on the long odds facing the Americans, the luck and breathtaking courage, and the brilliance of American codebreakers...

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George Friedman – Different Visions for Europe

By George Friedman Following U.S. President Donald Trump’s visit to Europe, German Chancellor Angela Merkel said Europe could no longer rely on others, by which she clearly meant that Europe could no longer rely on the United States. The statement undoubtedly arose in part from her personal friction with Trump. Part of it had to do with politics: Trump is unpopular in Germany, and the German...

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George Friedman: The Dispensability of Allies

By George Friedman U.S. President Donald Trump hosted Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan at the White House on Tuesday. Later this month, Trump will travel to Israel and Saudi Arabia, along with Belgium, Italy and the Vatican. With all respect, Belgium, Italy and the Vatican don’t present the same degree of strategic challenges to the United States that three Middle Eastern...

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George Friedman: Journey’s End – Warsaw and Budapest A shift is emerging in Eastern Europe

 As I have mentioned previously, I spent the past couple of weeks in Europe. I completed my trip last week with a visit to Warsaw and Budapest. Both places are concerned with economic issues, resistance to the European Union’s claims on their sovereignty and, most importantly, their long-term national security. What was interesting in my meetings was the subtle shift in how Warsaw...

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George Friedman: Why I Founded Geopolitical Futures

By George Friedman Its origin was simple. I was convinced that intelligence and geopolitics in the hands of the public was essential for a democratic society. It was too important to be left to the experts. I could have founded a think tank (in fact I did) but the pressure of begging for money and pleasing donors twisted my work. I could have done a column for a newspaper (indeed I did) but 600...

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George Friedman: The Deep State

  by George Friedman The Deep State It does in fact exist, but not how you think. There is something ominous-sounding in the deep state. It implies that beneath constitutionally ordained systems and principles, there is a deeper and more potent power in control of the nation. It implies a unified force deeply embedded in the republic that has...

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George Friedman: Nationalism and Liberal Democracy Tension between nationalism and liberal democracy is not what is haunting us today.

By George Friedman Nationalism is rising in the Western world, and many view it as the enemy of liberal democracy. The basis of this view is not unreasonable, as European wars fought from 1914 to 1945 were among the most barbaric in history. Those wars were fought between nations, many of which had rejected the principles of liberal democracy. Some saw the proliferation of nations as...

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